Golden State Warriors defeat the Denver Nuggets in 6 Games

Denver Nuggets v Golden State Warriors - Game Six

In front of a sellout crowd of 19,500 plus at Oracle Arena in Oakland, the Golden State Warriors won their first playoff series since 2007 when they beat the top seeded Dallas Mavericks behind Baron Davis, Stephen Jackson, Monta Ellis and Andris Biedrens.

The 2013 version of the Warriors boasts one of the most dynamic and “sharpest-shooting” back courts in the association this year with Steph Curry and Klay Thompson. A first round series win on Thursday night extends a really impressive season for Golden State in which had solid coaching (Mark Jackson), their first All Star selection since 1997 (David Lee) and a productive bench led by Jarrett Jack. (The Warriors should/could have had 2 allstars but that’s a discussion for another day).

The Denver Nuggets also had an awesome regular season. They won almost 60 games! (57). They had the best home record in the NBA 38-3, led the league in points-per-game and was widely feared as the deepest, fastest and most exciting team in the West with aspirations on reaching the Western Conference Finals.

In Game 1, the Nuggets won a thriller in front of their home crowd by 2 points on a game winner by Andre Miller. After game 1, the Nuggets should have seen the writing on the wall. In the regular season, they had a huge point differential, were number 2 in rebounding and 3rd in assists per game. In game 1, they were out-rebounded by 10. More importantly and more accurately they gave up 55 rebounds with is the most rebounds against the Nuggets in a playoff game in about 20 years.

In game 2, the Nuggets “officially” lost the series by surrendering the homecourt advantage that they worked hard for during the regular season. They were outrebounded again by 10 rebounds and gave up 131 points on their homecourt on 64% field goals percentage (not a typo 64% not 46%!) and 56% from 3 point range. They seemingly didn’t miss David Lee who was injured in game 1.

The Warriors averaged 118 points per game in the 3 middle games, games 2, 3 and 4. The Nuggets inability to defend Golden State’s shooters did them in this series. In addition, losing the rebounding battle and not getting the fastbreak points that they feasted on earlier in the season became their undoing.

In the 6th and final game, the Warriors started slow at home and scored only 40 first half points before erupting for 33 points in the 3rd quarter alone led by Steph Curry. David Lee pulled a “Willis Reed” return from what was season ending surgery! He only played 2 minutes and was an inspirational insertion into the game. The Warriors led by as many as 18 points and held off a furious comeback by the Nuggets who cut the lead to only 2 points with 32 seconds remaining. Warriors win and advance to the Western Conference semifinals.

The key point of this series might have been the instant defense improvement the Warriors received with David Lee not on the floor. This forced Coach Jackson to play Andrew Bogut for 40+ points and he flourished. His defense was key for Golden State, his rebounding numbers were Rodman-like and he protected the point with an assortment of blocks.

The Nuggets have lost in the first round 9 out of 10 times. This might put to bed the idea that a team with no “superstar/allstar” has a legitimate chance at an NBA title.

For now the Warriors move on!

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Spurs vs Lakers 2013 Playoffs Preview

      Number 2 vs Number 7 – San Antonio vs Los Angeles

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How did they get here?
The Spurs lost 4 of its last 5 games to slip to number 2 in the West. The LA Lakers won 5 straight games to close the season and 8 of its last 9 quite impressively to attain the 7th seed and a desired date with San Antonio in the first round of the playoffs. 

We tweeted on April 10th while the Lakers were down double digits on the road in Portland that if they lost that game they wouldn’t make the playoffs. These words end up being prophetic. Lakers win that game and make the playoffs. 
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Kobe put on a show that has never been seen in NBA history with the first 47 points, 8 rebounds, 5 assists, 4 blocks and 3 steals performance in NBA history (Keep in mind the NBA starting keep statistics for blocks and steals in the 1973 – 1974, so I am almost positive that players like Wilt Chamberlain or Oscar Robertson would have accomplished this feat). This is Taking nothing away from Kobe’s huge performance at the age of 34!

Most NBA analysts projected that the Lakers would need to win 65 – 70% of their games after January to make the 8th seed. They did just that down the stretch including winning 80% of their last 10 games to not only make it in but gain the coveted 7th seed. 

Now that they are HERE, how much noise will they make without their fearless leader Kobe Bryant? Both teams are deeply affected by injuries. Steve Nash is a game time decision. Same as Ginobili. Tony Parker is also hobbled. 

I like the Spurs in all positions except the power forward and center positions. Dwight Howard and Pau Gasol have played as a great tandem down the stretch. The Lakers have played much better “team basketball” of late. They are not a better threat without Kobe, but his absence has allowed players like Steve Blake, Antawn Jamison & Earl Clark to show case their talent. Steve Blake has been the Lakers MVP in the final 2 games. He scored over 20 points in back to back games for the first time in his NBA career!

What the Lakers have going for them? Momentum, with winning 8 of it’s last 9 games. Also, an improved defense featuring their own twin towers and the absence of Steve Nash absent. A motivated and renewed Pau Gasol.

What the Spurs have going for them? Coaching, two words Gregg Popovich. Also, their bench is deeper and has played consistently all season.  In addition, they are more seasoned with playoff experience. 

The Spurs have met the Lakers in the post season 6 times in the Kobe Bryant era with the winner going to the Finals each time. 

This year: expect the Spurs to win this series in 6 games. 

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Next Denver vs Golden State preview!
AND LA Clippers vs Memphis.

The Youngest Team in the Playoffs: The Houston Rockets

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A week ago, I began writing a piece on the Houston Rockets entitled “The team no one wants to see in the playoffs”.  This was on the strength of the young Rockets clinching their first playoff berth since 2009 on 4/9/2013.

Since then the Rockets have lost 3 of their final 4 games and dropped from the 6th seed to the 8th and final seed in the Western conference playoffs. Rest assured: the NBA gets what they want.  Dream matchups and high ratings: 1) James  Harden against his former team with an abundance of story lines 2) The Lakers get the best chance to stay in the playoffs longer against the Spurs.  Okay! Enough with conspiracy theories 🙂

What is the Rockets ceiling?

I recall the ESPN analysts and so-called NBA experts making their preseason picks. Not one picked the Rockets to make the playoffs. Surprisingly, the Rockets were battling for the 6 seed just 2 days. They just finished the 2012-2013 the regular season with 45 wins. To think that this young team which actually endured a 7 game losing streak earlier in the season and still finish just short of 50 total wins is unfathomable but should be delightful to Rockets fans.

How did they do it?

Time to give credit to the coaching staff and the GM. We live in a world where no one gets enough credit when a job is “well-done” yet receive extra helpings of blame when things turn south. (As a reminder this was partially written on April 9th, much of this was not evident during the Rockets meltdown against the Lakers last night in Los Angeles).

Kevin McHale has instilled a unique offense that has the youngest team in the league lead the league in scoring. The Houston Rockets will make history this season. They will as a team be the team that has 1) taken the most 3 point attempts in a season on NBA history and 2) the team that has made the most 3 point field goals in NBA history.  This team does not have a Ray Allen nor Reggie Miller nor Tim Legler nor Ryan Anderson for that matter. What they do have is 2 guards that push the pace and create open looks for 5 or 6 very capable shooters.

GM, Darryl Morey pulled a major deal by signing James Harden from the OKC Thunder giving the Rockets a bonafide star and surrounding him with talent that has promising potential.

To say that Harden has surpassed expectations is an understatement. It would be a good investment for a team to see positive rewards in 2 or 3 seasons in seeing a star player blossom into an ALLSTAR “eventually”. But what did Harden do IMMEDIATELY:

– started the first two games of the season by scoring 37 and 45 respectively.

– becoming an unquestionable Allstar at his first shot as a starter in a conference loaded with high caliber guard talent

– breaking a few Rockets records in his first season including consecutive games scoring 20+ points, consecutive games scoring 25+, most free throws made and attempted in a single season and more

– leading the league in free throws attempted. The only player this season averaging over 10+ free throw attempts

– Should I continue?!

Chandler Parsons – Chandler is the best monetary value in NBA basketball.  Do you remember a nice young player named Chase Budinger?!  Yeah, I almost didn’t either.  Chandler has made us all forget him.  And with Budinger being out most of this season with injuries, Parsons is the undeniable choice between the two.  He has improved his shooting, really good at cuts to the basket and if he gets his defense back to its previous 1st year prowess, will be on his way. And that shot to send that game into overtime! Chandler might be the only “untouchable” (untradeable) player on the Rockets besides Harden.

Jeremy Lin – has improved in every month this season.  I think his improved play especially in the past 3 months has brought him into his own. I think Lin is the X-factor in the Rockets making any noise in the playoffs.   When he limits his turnovers and plays with the aggressive motivation like he showed against his former teams (NY Knicks and Golden State), the sky is the limit for the Rockets.  He doesn’t have to be CP3 nor does he even have to be LINSANITY. But if he limits his mistakes and fearlessly runs the offense, then the Rockets can make some noise.

What makes the Rockets unique? The following players were virtual unknowns from last year but have really impressed this year.

Omer Asik – Omer has been in the top 3 league leaders in rebounding all season. He is another player that has met and exceeded all expectations for him.  He would be a perfect candidate for Hakeem Olajuwon’s “big-man-camp” this offseason.  The development of a post game and ability to hit a 12 to 15 footer would end talks/speculation/dreams/lusts of Dwight Howard in Houston (unless Dwight says he wants to leaves LA).

Patrick Beverly –  Patrick is the prototype of a backup point guard. Tenacious on defense, decent spot up shooter, reliable rebounder, limits turnovers. And McHale has gone to him increasingly in the 4th quarter to close out games.  I have seen about 3 instances that Rockets would probably have lost games offensively and defensively without him on the floor.  The most compelling in San Antonio when he was subbed in for Lin because Tony Parker went basket, basket, free throws, basket on Lin consecutively.  Beverly comes in and gets a huge block (like a center!), which the for-sure basket would have resulted in a 6 point deficit instead of the resulting 1 point deficit (5 point switch! with Chandler knocking down a 3).

Greg Smith – Greg spent a lot of time in the D league. Has a back to the basket game. He is a 2nd year, 6′ 11″ big man out of Fresno State. And gives huge contributions for an undrafted center in my opinion.

Terrence Jones – He had the most DNPCD of any Rocket this season.  Also spent a lot of time in the D-league.  Now making solid contributions in more minutes played of late especially with Chandler and Delfino out in the past 10 games. He might be the wild card.   He appears to have a more polished offensive game then both Donatus Motiejunas and Thomas Robinson (in limited sample size).

And there are more: James Anderson, Aaron Brooks, Francisco Garcia, Donatus Motiejunas & Thomas Robinson.

Bottom line, Houston is good enough offensively to win a road game. When you can win a road game, then you can win a series — against the Memphis Grizzles or against the San Antonio Spurs!  Since the Rockets “shot-themselves-in-the-foot” and did not take care of Phoenix on the road or LA, they get a gift of a postseason matchup with the mighty Oklahoma City Thunder.

How will the Rockets fair? Will they win a playoff game?  Will they force 7 games? I won’t attempt to predict the outcome.  You can find such predictions on every website out there.

Consider this the quiet before the storm.  The time for reflection before the battle. The team with average experience under 2 years finishes at 8 games above .500.  The same record as a Lakers team that has been on fire lately and has 4 “superstars”.

Turnovers and defense will be the big questions surrounding the Rockets. Can the young Rockets limit their turnovers? Can they hold their own defensively? Will their high octane offense still operate at a high level in the postseason?

We will begin to find out on Sunday.

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